BENCHEWS · RESEARCH POSITIONING
Beyond Early Warning
From statistical warning signals to the question of effective self-correction
Detecting a warning signal is not the same as knowing whether a system can still correct itself.
What is distinctive?
Conventional early-warning signals can indicate statistical changes preceding critical transitions. BenchEWS proposes an explicit separation between signal detection, inference about resilience, corrective-feedback degradation, intervention delay and actual loss of corrective capacity. A warning signal alone is not proof of impaired self-correction. Where the evidence is insufficient, the framework requires abstention rather than an unsupported diagnosis.
Scientific status
This is a falsifiable methodological research proposal, not an independently validated diagnostic instrument. Incremental predictive value and earlier detection remain hypotheses requiring controlled comparisons and independent replication.
Scientific position paper
From Early Warning to Effective Self-Correction: Novelty, Comparative Performance, Validation Design, and Epistemic Limits of the BenchEWS Research Programme.
Published on Zenodo · Version DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.23558938